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Behavioral model infrastructure for companies at scale

Simulate your customers before you change anything.

Moveo One trains predictive models on your first-party behavioral data and runs calibrated simulations of your customer base. Every launch, price, and journey change is tested before a real customer sees it.

Calibrationfitting
  1. Fitting
  2. Calibrating
  3. N dimensions

From production models and simulation runs

How we validate →
Precision on carts flagged at add-to-cart
97.3%
Fashion e-commerce
Accuracy across 49,718 held-out sessions
93.6%
B2C onboarding
AUC-ROC on a live client holdout
0.942
Production model
Tap likelihood, held across four independent simulation runs
9–10%
Content simulation
01The platform

Model. Predict. Act. Simulate.

  1. 01

    Model

    Behavioral models trained on your first-party data. Every customer, every session.

  2. 02

    Predict

    Per-customer probability of conversion, churn, activation or any behavior, at runtime, with the reason.

  3. 03

    Act

    Webhooks, API, Slack, email and experiments attached to predicted cohorts.

  4. 04

    Simulate

    Synthetic customers calibrated to your real cohorts, run against any change before launch.

02Why calibration matters

A simulation is only as good as the population inside it.

Dashboards describe what happened. Surveys ask what people say. A/B tests ship first and measure after. Simulation answers before launch, and only if the simulated customers behave like yours.

Generic synthetic personasUnfitted
  • Populations assembled from public data or prompted LLM personas
  • Answers what a plausible person might do
  • No ground truth to check the simulation against
Moveo One · calibrated cohortsFitted
  • Cohorts derived from your own first-party behavior
  • Each cohort tuned until it reproduces the outcomes you observe
  • Drift corrected after every run, validated on held-out sessions

How a cohort is calibrated

  1. 01

    Segment

    Anonymous telemetry is split into behavioral segments automatically. A name like “the returning considerer” describes what emerges from the data, not a fixed list.

  2. 02

    Model

    Probabilistic models learn how each segment moves through every section of the product. Training usually takes a few days.

  3. 03

    Calibrate

    The same models recalibrate the synthetic cohorts until synthetic users behave like real ones, and keep correcting drift run after run.

  4. 04

    Validate

    Historical sessions are held out and scored as unseen data. A simulated outcome is then confirmed with an A/B split inside the platform, within days.

No telemetry yet? Cohorts start from behavioral patterns learned in prior testing, or are calibrated from user testing and focus groups. Less precise, and reported as such.

Read the method →
03Results

Results from models and simulations in production.

Models that predicted a customer's next move and changed the decision in the same session, and simulations that caught a problem before a real customer saw it. Every model runs with a holdout, so the lift is measured, not assumed.

Model · predict and act

+44%

Paid conversion

0.9% → 1.3% of new accounts converting to paid

Creative software · SaaS

Model · predict and act

+27%

Revenue per signup

Revenue per signup, both intent cohorts combined

Consumer education app

Model · predict and act

+61%

Onboarding completion

Onboarding completion among at-risk users

Gaming platform · 200K users

Model · predict and act

4.2 days

Median warning before a customer churns

80.8% recall on customers who went on to churn. Enough lead time to act while they are still there.

Consumer brand

Simulation · before launch

18 of 100

Synthetic shoppers who did not buy, and why

They converged on one missing thing. The page was changed before a real customer saw it.

Retail category page

04Built for two scales

One platform. Deployed the way your organisation works.

For enterprises

Global brands, banks and retailers.

For scale-ups

Digital-native companies past product-market fit.

How it starts
Enterprise

A briefing, then a scoped pilot on your own data

Scale-ups

Connect a warehouse or install the SDK yourself

Deployment
Enterprise

Managed EU or US, dedicated single-tenant, or on-premise

Scale-ups

Managed cloud in the EU or US

Data & security
Enterprise

Data residency, SSO, DPA and a security review pack

Scale-ups

Encryption, MFA and a DPA on request

Integration
Enterprise

Warehouse-first, with dedicated modeling support from our ML team

Scale-ups

Prediction API, webhooks and an MCP server for your AI assistant

Commercials
Enterprise

Custom, with an SLA

Scale-ups

Published pricing, Pilot from €1,500 / month

06Research & validation

Calibrated, held out, verified.

Every model is scored on sessions it never saw, and every simulation is checked for repeatability before its ranking is trusted.

Content simulation · 8 social creatives · 12 runs

CreativeTap likelihood
  • HOffer with conditions listed8–11%
  • AConditional offer, price comparison10%
  • BHeadline offer, question as the hook9–10%
  • COffer with a condition, large numeral9%
  • ESeasonal visual, price drop9%
  • DPerson on camera, question-led6%
  • FStory-led, two people, a handoff5%
  • GSocial-proof counter5%
Offer-first Story-led Individual run

Repeatability

9–10%

Tap likelihood for the same creative across four independent runs, while raw taps ranged from 1 to 4.

Offer-first creatives held 9–11% tap likelihood. Story-led and social-proof creatives sat at 5–6%. The ranking came from simulation alone, without buying an impression.

Hosting

EU & US regions

Access

SSO · MFA

Privacy

GDPR-aligned · DPA

Deployment

Managed · single-tenant · on-prem

Certification

SOC 2 · ISO 27001 in progress

Security & trust →
07FAQ

Questions from enterprise and scale-up teams.

Deployment, data, validation, integration and pricing. Anything else goes to the team directly.

info@moveo.one

Test the next decision on your customers before they see it.

A 30-minute briefing on how Moveo One would model your customer base, where it would deploy, and what to simulate first.